Week 9 Results

Here's the original Trial and Error strategy for Week 9: http://mydfs.blogspot.com/2015/11/week-8-trial-and-error-strategy-best-vs.html

Results Overview

Best vs. Worst did well and was a great analysis baseline. 24th percentile for cash games which is great and 17th percentile for tournaments which barely got me in the money. Best vs. Worst is a great starting point for establishing a winning team but would fail without more analysis on the current week at play.

Details

Here was my final lineup. You'll see Hillman traded out for Blount due to Hillman bouncing between questionable\probable which is something I typically shy away from, especially when there are other options.

From a scientifically analytical standpoint, since I'm not a scientist or an analyst, my goal is to get myself into the money. I did that. So I'm not sure if I'm review of the week should focus on the goods and bads. There are obviously players here who didn't do well, but the team I chose got me in the money. I didn't want players to do well, I wanted my team to do well. They achieved that. But a few notes in case I really want to analyze player related things later on:

Tom Brady - Did so well they started to run the ball. This was the highest rated Best vs. Worst matchup on this lineup. He did so well at beating Washington that they gave up throwing the ball. That's a variable to consider later.

Blount - I don't like choosing Blount or Lewis because they are so hit or miss. I think Blount did so well because they stopped throwing the ball when they went up so high.

D Martin - Fumbled the ball and the coach sat him for the rest of the first half. That's shoddy discipline and should be considered.

M Evans - Dropped 6 passes, which hasn't happened in the NFL for 10 years. Just a bad game on his behalf, he was still targeted plenty, which is what matters.

Crabtree - A purely Best vs. Worst statistics based pick. I knew nothing of his performance besides numbers and had no fundamental knowledge of the team. Glad it worked out.

Payout Results:

Bet $16 won $33

Here's what I can offer to prove that this is not a tournament winning strategy. Below is the winning team at 207 points for the $5 tournament I entered.

Besides Crabtree, none of these players are either top five or playing the worst five teams against their position.