Tuesday, November 10, 2015

Stats that matter most per position

I'm going to start laying out the groundwork for the things that matter most per position, so they can be skipped. I learned in Week 9 that using one stat for each position did not do well. Some stats are worth more than others. Let's narrow it down to the one's that matter the most.

Eventually, the goal here is to create a "research schedule" that begins with what you first look for all the way down to the last things to consider when making your picks, including a weight for each of those things so you know how much emphasis you should put on each player.

Quarterbacks

Recently I've learned that game flow matters more than the matchup. A great QB on a team crushing a bad team will pull back on the reigns and run the ball, hurting your QB points for the week. Here's what I intend to look at for QBs:


  1. Must be top 10 QB (most FD points average per game last three weeks) playing bottom 10 defense against QBs
  2. One of the highest Sunday Play Props by Vegas
  3. Tighter point spreads means more work for QBs instead of game flow dictating that they take a break when they are up, so the tighter the point spread the better.
Wide Receivers

If you could get rid of every stat, targets would matter the most.
  1. Must be top 10 WR (most FD points average per game last three weeks) playing bottom 10 defense against WRs.
  2. WR1 and WR2 should have very high average targets, they could even be on the same team.
  3. WR3 should have high average targets and could be handcuffed to the QB.
Running Backs

Carries and matchups matter the most with RBs. The matchup matters more in RBs than anywhere else in Fantasy football. 

  1. Must be top 5 RB1 (most FD points average per game last three weeks) playing bottom 5 defense against RB.
  2. The bigger the point spread and the higher over/under the better the RB will do throughout the entire game, with the exception of a few teams who will use their Fullback to run plays if they are killing it.
  3. Carries beats all! The more carries the better!

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