Week 11 Strategy: Matured Best vs. Worst

I'm running out of fancy names for the titles of this bullshit but here goes:

Criteria order from most important to least important.

QB:

1. Highest scoring QBs, normally top ten
2. Playing the worst Defense against QBs
3. Most passing attempts
4. Playing the worst Defense against WRs
5. Vegas predicting high scoring but tight games.

Notes: I'd actually like to try a blended average of worst defense against QBs and WRs. That would really be awesome, but I'm lazy. You can always find someone who fits the first three criteria. If your QB's team is going to absolutely crush the other team this week you may want to look elsewhere, teams tend to run the ball if they are up by enough.

RB:

1. Highest scoring RBs, normally RB1 top five and RB2 top 15
2. Playing worst Defense against RBs
3. Vegas predicting a high scoring game with your RB on the winning team
4. Most rushing attempts (Not yards!)
5. Game flow and injuries

Notes: Variance between best RBs and worst defenses is valued most in the RB position than any other position. This should matter most. You'll see a huge boost in points if the game is predicted to be high scoring with your team favored to win, mainly because teams tend to run the ball when they take a large lead.

WR:

1. Highest scoring WRs
2. Targets, targets, targets
3. Playing worst defenses against WRs
4. Matchup against the corner. Does that corner shadow the best WR or stay on one side?
5. Injuries

Notes: A good WR will get open no matter who they are playing, but they'll always do better in the first half against teams they intend to beat. Make sure they are targeted heavily and good things will come. You can spend some time looking into their corner match up for the week. This will have some real value as some corners tend to out perform others while they shadow the best WRs. If your WR always lines up left but the defense they are playing always puts their best corner on the right, you can expect some serious gains.

TE:

1. Highest scoring TEs
2. Playing worst defense against TEs
3. Playing worst defense against WRs
4. Size matters! There's a direct correlation to TE's size and redzone touchdown scoring
5. Playing against pass rushing defenses

Notes: 1 and 2 are weighted the most, but if you're looking for an edge you can look into the type of defense your picks are playing. If the defense makes your TE's QB make quick decisions you'll get yards.

K:

1. Vegas predictions on high scoring games
2. Highest scoring Ks

Notes: Not much here. I wouldn't spend big money on kickers. High scoring games that Vegas predicts will equate to more chances for kickers. It's that easy.

DEF:

1. Highest scoring DEFs
2. Turnovers and opponent turnovers
3. Vegas predicting low scoring games
4. Playing against a QB with lots of interceptions

Notes: The lower the score the better, but defenses really get points when they are able to turn the ball over. Also, check out how well the other QB is doing. You can find that stat on the day of the game by google "Bovada QB Player Props" and looking at how many turnovers Vegas (I know Bovada is Latvian) are predicted.