Week 9 Trial and Error Strategy: Best vs. Worst

Overview:

Only pick players who are playing the five worst teams against that position. In other words, players who are playing teams who give up the most FanDuel points to each position are picked.

Data:

Players to pick data: Most average FD Points per game for the last three games
Worst teams data: Most average FD Points per game for the last three games scored against per position

Example: Best QB's last three weeks:

Example: Worst Defense against QB's last three weeks:

Most obvious pick: Philip Rivers against Chicago
Close Second: Tom Brady against Washington

Comments:

It's very hard to do only the top five players and top five teams against and stay within budget. When players do cost too much, you can still use the top five worst teams against. For example, I went with Eli Manning as my QB for reasons outside of this strategy as well as because he is playing Tampa Bay and is the cheapest option I trust playing the worst defenses.

My projection is this strategy is good for establishing a base of players who have nothing but potential for the next week. There needs to be more fundamental research per player, considering this strategy is on past performance and does not take into account injuries or other team changes that may have occurred in the last game. I'd suggest checking team health and doing your standard weekly depth chart review and injury report no matter what strategy you employ.

Projections:

I'm not totally sure applying this strategy is good for all positions. This is great for QB's, because they are very dependent on how well the defense has been stopping the passing game. This is also great for TE's, oddly enough, mainly because a standard passing game statistic for a defense isn't going to show you if they are doing good or bad against longer throws which involves the secondary or if they are struggling with a QB's short game. However, how poorly the other team does against the kicker? Cmon.

My projection is that this will do just fine, only because you're picking the best of the best. I think I'll lose to other players simply having a better game than my guys, for unknown reasons. This strategy will fare well in 50/50s, that's what I intend to use it on.

My First Lineup (Not Shown: Eagles Defense)

My second lineup after realizing Hillman is playing a weak defense and I could get Brady if I gave up the costly Lewis:

Eagles Defense

Results following next Monday's games.