Pos Player Name Inj Team Opp Salary FP Val
QB Ryan Fitzpatrick P NYJ TEN $7,800 18.2
RB Doug Martin TB NO $8,000 16.3 2.0
RB Jonathan Stewart CAR ATL $7,200 13.5
WR Mike Evans TB NO $8,000 12.5 1.6
WR Nate Washington HOU NE $5,200 10.3 2.0
WR Larry Fitzgerald Q ARI MIN $7,200 17.0
TE Greg Olsen CAR ATL $6,600 13.0 2.0
K Connor Barth TB NO $4,600 8.4 1.8
D Denver Broncos DEN OAK $5,400 9.8 1.8
Totals $60,000 119.0 2.0
Wednesday, December 9, 2015
Week 14 Match Ups
These are my favorite matchups so far:
QB's
QB's
|
Name
|
Team
|
Opponent
|
Home/Away
|
Salary
|
Salary Change
|
Points
|
GP
|
Pts/Game
|
|
Fitzpatrick, Ryan
|
nyj
|
ten
|
H
|
7800
|
300
|
72.82
|
3
|
24.27
|
|
Bortles, Blake
|
jac
|
ind
|
H
|
7700
|
300
|
67.82
|
3
|
22.6
|
|
Dalton, Andy
|
cin
|
pit
|
H
|
8200
|
200
|
66.62
|
3
|
22.2
|
|
Palmer, Carson
|
ari
|
min
|
H
|
8300
|
400
|
66.26
|
3
|
22.08
|
|
Winston, Jameis
|
tam
|
no
|
H
|
7800
|
600
|
64.92
|
3
|
21.64
|
WR's
|
Name
|
Team
|
Opponent
|
Home/Away
|
Salary
|
Salary Change
|
Points
|
GP
|
Pts/Game
|
|
Beckham Jr., Odell
|
nyg
|
mia
|
A
|
9300
|
-100
|
48.6
|
2
|
24.3
|
|
Marshall, Brandon
|
nyj
|
ten
|
H
|
8200
|
100
|
67.9
|
3
|
22.63
|
|
Robinson, Allen
|
jac
|
ind
|
H
|
8500
|
500
|
66.2
|
3
|
22.06
|
|
Wheaton, Markus
|
pit
|
cin
|
A
|
6100
|
100
|
43.1
|
2
|
21.55
|
|
Brown, Antonio
|
pit
|
cin
|
A
|
9300
|
300
|
41.9
|
2
|
20.95
|
|
Watkins, Sammy
|
buf
|
phi
|
A
|
7200
|
200
|
54.6
|
3
|
18.2
|
|
Johnson, Calvin
|
det
|
stl
|
A
|
7900
|
-600
|
54.5
|
3
|
18.16
|
|
Bryant, Martavis
|
pit
|
cin
|
A
|
7400
|
500
|
35.9
|
2
|
17.95
|
|
Green, A.J.
|
cin
|
pit
|
H
|
8500
|
100
|
52.3
|
3
|
17.43
|
|
Brown, John
|
ari
|
min
|
H
|
6300
|
300
|
39.4
|
3
|
13.13
|
|
Decker, Eric
|
nyj
|
ten
|
H
|
7300
|
100
|
38.9
|
3
|
12.96
|
|
Nelson, J.J.
|
ari
|
min
|
H
|
5400
|
300
|
38.9
|
3
|
12.96
|
|
Tate, Golden
|
det
|
stl
|
A
|
6400
|
-100
|
36.2
|
3
|
12.06
|
|
Fitzgerald, Larry
|
ari
|
min
|
H
|
7200
|
-100
|
34.1
|
3
|
11.36
|
|
Boldin, Anquan
|
sfo
|
cle
|
A
|
5900
|
-100
|
31.3
|
3
|
10.43
|
|
Green-Beckham, Dorial
|
ten
|
nyj
|
A
|
5100
|
0
|
30.6
|
3
|
10.2
|
|
Jones, Marvin
|
cin
|
pit
|
H
|
6200
|
1000
|
29
|
3
|
9.66
|
RB's
|
Name
|
Team
|
Opponent
|
Home/Away
|
Salary
|
Salary Change
|
Points
|
GP
|
Pts/Game
|
|
Martin, Doug
|
tam
|
no
|
H
|
8000
|
400
|
48.3
|
3
|
16.1
|
|
McCoy, LeSean
|
buf
|
phi
|
A
|
7900
|
100
|
48.1
|
3
|
16.03
|
|
Stewart, Jonathan
|
car
|
atl
|
H
|
7200
|
0
|
43.9
|
3
|
14.63
|
|
Sproles, Darren
|
phi
|
buf
|
H
|
5100
|
200
|
35.9
|
3
|
11.96
|
|
Blue, Alfred
|
hou
|
ne
|
H
|
5300
|
-700
|
32.7
|
3
|
10.9
|
|
Riddick, Theo
|
det
|
stl
|
A
|
5500
|
-300
|
32
|
3
|
10.66
|
|
Sims, Charles
|
tam
|
no
|
H
|
4900
|
-300
|
28.5
|
3
|
9.5
|
TE's - This is just matchups. I'd go with a rocksteady pick instead of matchups here.
|
Name
|
Team
|
Opponent
|
Home/Away
|
Salary
|
Salary Change
|
Points
|
GP
|
Pts/Game
|
|
Rudolph, Kyle
|
min
|
ari
|
A
|
5000
|
-100
|
31.2
|
3
|
10.4
|
|
Brate, Cameron
|
tam
|
no
|
H
|
4900
|
0
|
28.2
|
3
|
9.4
|
|
Kelce, Travis
|
kan
|
sdg
|
H
|
6000
|
-200
|
27.2
|
3
|
9.06
|
DST
|
Name
|
Team
|
Opponent
|
Home/Away
|
Salary
|
Salary Change
|
Points
|
GP
|
Pts/Game
|
|
Carolina
|
car
|
atl
|
H
|
5000
|
100
|
43
|
3
|
14.33
|
|
Kansas City
|
kan
|
sdg
|
H
|
4800
|
100
|
42
|
3
|
14
|
|
Denver
|
den
|
oak
|
H
|
5400
|
100
|
35
|
3
|
11.66
|
|
Seattle
|
sea
|
bal
|
A
|
5300
|
500
|
28
|
3
|
9.33
|
|
Detroit
|
det
|
stl
|
A
|
4700
|
200
|
21
|
3
|
7
|
Season Observations
I think I can accurately make some predictions about the flow of the season and where things are going to go, based on what I've read and what I've learned recently.
Bad teams will roll over
It's about that time in the season where bad teams will see the writing on the wall and give up. They'll win the games they are supposed to win but will secede to teams will most likely beat them. The teams who have no chance of getting into the playoffs will start to shut down for the season and being hibernation. Keep this is mind when looking at matchups.
Guaranteed teams will play it safe
If a team makes it to playoffs, don't expect them to do anything amazing once they are guaranteed. There's no chance they'll risk injuries or go above and beyond to beat a team.
Borderline teams will fight hard
Expect to see some amazing effort from teams with close matchups doing all they can to fight for the wildcard or reserve their spot in the playoffs. They'll throw the kitchen sink at other teams to get in.
Bad teams will roll over
It's about that time in the season where bad teams will see the writing on the wall and give up. They'll win the games they are supposed to win but will secede to teams will most likely beat them. The teams who have no chance of getting into the playoffs will start to shut down for the season and being hibernation. Keep this is mind when looking at matchups.
Guaranteed teams will play it safe
If a team makes it to playoffs, don't expect them to do anything amazing once they are guaranteed. There's no chance they'll risk injuries or go above and beyond to beat a team.
Borderline teams will fight hard
Expect to see some amazing effort from teams with close matchups doing all they can to fight for the wildcard or reserve their spot in the playoffs. They'll throw the kitchen sink at other teams to get in.
Week 13 Results
Bet $24 and won $27, so it was a wash. I think I seriously lucked out by trusting the players to do well, because they did; everyone did. High scores all around. My four lineups were between 116 and 149 and only the 139 and 149 were in the money safely.
I think I can do a predicted and actual for some of my lineups, lets try:
Meh, you get the point. I think I'm happy to have gotten out of that week as easily as I did. I was really worried for a bit, there was just way too high of performance from players would had semi- good matchups.
I think I can do a predicted and actual for some of my lineups, lets try:
|
Pos
|
Player Name
|
Inj
|
Team
|
Opp
|
Salary
|
FP
|
Act
|
|
QB
|
Cam Newton
|
|
CAR
|
@NO
|
$9,000
|
24
|
37.1
|
|
RB
|
DeAngelo Williams
|
|
PIT
|
IND
|
$7,200
|
17.7
|
|
|
RB
|
David Johnson
|
|
ARI
|
@STL
|
$5,900
|
16
|
19
|
|
WR
|
Antonio Brown
|
|
PIT
|
IND
|
$9,000
|
18.5
|
33.8
|
|
WR
|
Larry Fitzgerald
|
P
|
ARI
|
@STL
|
$7,300
|
15.8
|
|
|
WR
|
Marvin Jones
|
|
CIN
|
@CLE
|
$5,200
|
9.9
|
14
|
|
TE
|
Greg Olsen
|
|
CAR
|
@NO
|
$6,600
|
13.6
|
15.4
|
|
K
|
Blair Walsh
|
|
MIN
|
SEA
|
$4,800
|
8.8
|
1
|
|
D
|
Carolina Panthers
|
|
CAR
|
@NO
|
$4,900
|
10.8
|
|
|
Totals
|
|
|
|
$59,900
|
135.1
|
149.8
|
|
Meh, you get the point. I think I'm happy to have gotten out of that week as easily as I did. I was really worried for a bit, there was just way too high of performance from players would had semi- good matchups.
Thursday, December 3, 2015
Week 13 Picks
I went a little farther in depth and stopped stressing so much with lineups this week. I going to see if lineups can do better by just relying on the skill set of the players and less of the match ups. Also, I completely eliminated any team playing in the rain, snow, less than 50 degrees or with winds higher than 10mph.
Also, my tables are looking better in my excel sheet. Can you tell?
Also, my tables are looking better in my excel sheet. Can you tell?
|
Cam Newton
|
|
|
David Johnson
|
|
|
DeAngelo Williams
|
|
|
Brandon LaFell
|
|
|
Larry Fitzgerald
|
Q
|
|
Antonio Brown
|
|
|
Scott Chandler
|
|
|
Blair Walsh
|
|
|
Carolina Panthers
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cam Newton
|
|
|
David Johnson
|
|
|
DeAngelo Williams
|
|
|
Larry Fitzgerald
|
Q
|
|
Marvin Jones
|
P
|
|
Antonio Brown
|
|
|
Greg Olsen
|
|
|
Blair Walsh
|
|
|
Carolina Panthers
|
|
|
|
|
|
Matthew Stafford
|
|
|
David Johnson
|
|
|
DeAngelo Williams
|
|
|
Brandon LaFell
|
|
|
Larry Fitzgerald
|
Q
|
|
Antonio Brown
|
|
|
Greg Olsen
|
|
|
Chandler Catanzaro
|
|
|
Carolina Panthers
|
|
|
|
|
|
Matthew Stafford
|
|
|
David Johnson
|
|
|
DeAngelo Williams
|
|
|
Larry Fitzgerald
|
Q
|
|
Antonio Brown
|
|
|
Michael Crabtree
|
|
|
Greg Olsen
|
|
|
Dustin Hopkins
|
|
|
Carolina Panthers
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cam Newton
|
|
|
David Johnson
|
|
|
Charcandrick West
|
P
|
|
Antonio Brown
|
|
|
Travis Benjamin
|
|
|
Michael Crabtree
|
|
|
Greg Olsen
|
|
|
Chandler Catanzaro
|
|
|
Carolina Panthers
|
|
|
|
|
|
Matthew Stafford
|
|
|
David Johnson
|
|
|
Charcandrick West
|
P
|
|
Michael Crabtree
|
|
|
Antonio Brown
|
|
|
Alshon Jeffery
|
|
|
Greg Olsen
|
|
|
Chandler Catanzaro
|
|
|
Carolina Panthers
|
|
Tuesday, December 1, 2015
Week 13 Initial Thoughts
Here are the best players with the best looking matchps:
| QB | RB | WR | TE | K | D |
| Newton, Cam | Peterson, Adrian | Baldwin, Doug | Reed, Jordan | Gano, Graham | Carolina |
| Brady, Tom | Stewart, Jonathan | Landry, Jarvis | Celek, Brent | Santos, Cairo | Kansas City |
| Hasselbeck, Matt | Mathews, Ryan | Marshall, Brandon | Barnidge, Gary | Myers, Jason | Tampa Bay |
| Dalton, Andy | Murray, DeMarco | Decker, Eric | Graham, Jimmy | Crosby, Mason | Houston |
| Mariota, Marcus | Blount, LeGarrette | Bryant, Martavis | Catanzaro, Chandler | Cincinnati | |
| Brown, Antonio | |||||
| Green, A.J. | |||||
| Benjamin, Travis | |||||
| Amendola, Danny |
Week 12 Recap
I'm not going to post everything like I normally do; I'm traveling on the road. I did excellent in my 5050s but got greedy and lost about $9 from playing too many tournaments that my 5050s couldn't cover. My Eli lineup was on point. More 5050s, less tournaments...
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